Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeVoith-ArenaFull-time recap

1. FC Heidenheim

LDLDL

0–3Full-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Heidenheim	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Shots	7 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.45 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Heidenheim favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 7 · 5 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.45 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.73 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲12.1 shots/match

16.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲14.8 shots/match

3.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲4.91 shots/match

5.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲5.27 shots/match

40.1%Possessionseason · 11/1146%

4.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.82 corners/match

4.55 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.27 corners/match

1.64 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/111.73 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Heidenheim8.3

Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Heidenheim8.3

Borussia Mönchengladbach44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Heidenheim2.8

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Heidenheim47.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim27.8

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Heidenheim41.7

Borussia Mönchengladbach52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Heidenheim26.4

Borussia Mönchengladbach50.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

39.6%Possession5/542.2%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.9 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.6 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match

39.2%Possession10/1044.5%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.45 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.73 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.4 shots/matchShots11/11▲12.1 shots/match

3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.91 shots/match

40.1%Possession11/1146%

4.55 corners/matchCorners11/114.82 corners/match

1.64 cards/matchCards11/111.73 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲1.8 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots6/5▲13.4 shots/match

4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲6 shots/match

42.3%Possession6/549%

4.67 corners/matchCorners6/55.2 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards6/51.8 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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