PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTCFull timeAllianz ArenaFull-time recap
6–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
Shots22 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession72%28%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match▲ShotsBayern München · SC Freiburg11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots19.2 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.64 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.6%▲PossessionBayern München · SC Freiburg48%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenSC FreiburgBaseline
Possession65.6%48%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayern München favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 2 · 4 too close

3.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.36 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.82 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111 shots/match
8.64 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1112.9 shots/match
8.36 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.36 shots/match
2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.18 shots/match
65.6%Possessionseason · 11/1148%
5.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.45 corners/match
4.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲3.36 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.73 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/118.73 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
55%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayern München97.2
SC Freiburg36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayern München97.2
SC Freiburg18.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayern München97.2
SC Freiburg56.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayern München86.1
SC Freiburg2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayern München50
SC Freiburg16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayern München80.6
SC Freiburg36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayern München77.8
SC Freiburg13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
69.8%Possession5/546.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
3.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
8.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
65.9%Possession10/1046.8%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/108.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
3.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shots11/1111 shots/match
8.36 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.36 shots/match
65.6%Possession11/1148%
5.45 corners/matchCorners11/114.45 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/111.73 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/118.73 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
4.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.3 shots/match▲Shots6/610.8 shots/match
9 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match
64.2%Possession6/644.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/63.17 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.33 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls6/68.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBayern MünchenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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