UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

WWWW

3–1Full-time recap

FC Bayern München

WWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arsenal	FC Bayern München
Shots	12 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.72 xG/match▲	0.69 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	6 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Arsenal: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.70 xG. FC Bayern München: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.70 xG · FC Bayern München 0.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Bayern München's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC Bayern München have a visible away split

weak

FC Bayern München's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season17 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	17 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 4 · 4 too close

2.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲3 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.2 goals/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲2.59 xG/match

0.53 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.22 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲17 shots/match

9.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/511.4 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲8 shots/match

1.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.8 shots/match

54.2%Possessionseason · 5/555%

4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.6 corners/match

3.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/511.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

80%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal71.4

FC Bayern München77.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal79.4

FC Bayern München88.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal94.5

FC Bayern München66.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal46.4

FC Bayern München72.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal56

FC Bayern München48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal35.7

FC Bayern München50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal59

FC Bayern München67.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.59 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/555%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.59 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/555%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.59 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/555%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32.67 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

2.62 xG/match▲Expected goals3/32.23 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots3/314.3 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target3/37.33 shots/match

50.7%Possession3/352%

4 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4