UEFA Champions League · 2025Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 3–1 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 3–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.720.69
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat FC Bayern München 3–1. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – FC Bayern München): shots 12–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.72–0.69, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München have a visible away split

weak

FC Bayern München's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match17 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsArsenal 12 shots, FC Bayern München 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsArsenal 8 shots, FC Bayern München 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG0.69 xGArsenal 2.72 xG, FC Bayern München 0.69 xG
  • Possession40%60%Arsenal 40%, FC Bayern München 60%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerArsenal 6 corners, FC Bayern München 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsArsenal 16 fouls, FC Bayern München 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosip Stanišić · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Arsenal · 69′ · 0.16 xG · goalWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 5′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 58′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Mosquera · Arsenal · 60′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.24 xG · on targetLennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 32′ · 0.28 xG · goalJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.55 xG · goalGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 77′ · 0.76 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.70 xG. FC Bayern München: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jurriën Timber · Arsenal · 22′Noni Madueke · Arsenal · 69′Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 77′Lennart Karl · FC Bayern München · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.70 xG · FC Bayern München 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Arsenal
1Draws
1FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Arsenal · UEFA Champions League1–0
Arsenal — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal5 matchesFC Bayern München5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3 goals/match
0.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.59 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 17 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 8 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/5● 55%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.6 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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