PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

WWWWD
4–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalTottenham
Shots17 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · Tottenham9.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalTottenhamBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match9.17 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against7 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match9.17 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 0 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.67 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.17 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/129.17 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1212.1 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123.33 shots/match
1.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.33 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 12/1252.8%
6.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.67 corners/match
2.92 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/125.33 corners/match
1 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.42 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
58%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1233%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal87.5
Tottenham72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal90
Tottenham35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal97.5
Tottenham49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal87.5
Tottenham2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal20
Tottenham78.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal92.5
Tottenham77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal76.2
Tottenham45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.8%Possession5/549%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
0.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots10/108.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
59.8%Possession10/1052.8%
7.3 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.67 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots12/129.17 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.33 shots/match
58.8%Possession12/1252.8%
6.58 corners/matchCorners12/125.67 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards12/122.42 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/62.17 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.7 shots/match▲Shots6/69.33 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match
62.3%Possession6/649.8%
6.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.83 corners/match
0.5 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsArsenalTottenham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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