UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

WWWL

5–3Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	15 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.76 xG/match	2.06 xG/match▲
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.76 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.76 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.2 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Tottenham Hotspur10.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	20.2 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	9 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.8%▲PossessionParis Saint Germain · Tottenham Hotspur48.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	65.8%	48.8%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 2 · 4 too close

3.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/52 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.65 xG/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.51 xG/match

20.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/510.6 shots/match

9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/515.6 shots/match

8.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.4 shots/match

65.8%Possessionseason · 5/548.8%

6.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54 corners/match

2.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain98.8

Tottenham Hotspur39.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain96.1

Tottenham Hotspur34.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain70.1

Tottenham Hotspur47

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain70.2

Tottenham Hotspur17.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain8.3

Tottenham Hotspur20.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain91.7

Tottenham Hotspur29.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain72.3

Tottenham Hotspur21.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.65 xG/match

20.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

8.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

65.8%Possession5/548.8%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

3.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.65 xG/match

20.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

8.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

65.8%Possession5/548.8%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

3.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.34 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.65 xG/match

20.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

8.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

65.8%Possession5/548.8%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

2.42 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.47 xG/match

20.7 shots/match▲Shots3/310 shots/match

9.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match

68.3%Possession3/341.7%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.33 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4