PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–0.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.521.33
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monaco beat Paris Saint Germain 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Paris Saint Germain): shots 10–17, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.52–1.33, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsMonaco · Paris Saint Germain17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match17.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match8.86 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris Saint Germain's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris Saint Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.93 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.1%PossessionMonaco · Paris Saint Germain● 70.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonacoParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession54.1%70.7%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAS Monaco 5 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG1.33 xGAS Monaco 0.52 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.33 xG
  • Possession43%57%AS Monaco 43%, Paris Saint-Germain 57%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAS Monaco 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsAS Monaco 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAS Monaco 3 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Willian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · Monaco · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLamine Camara · Monaco · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMohammed Salisu · Monaco · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLucas Hernández · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 68′ · 0.09 xG · goalMohammed Salisu · Monaco · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.26 xG · on targetQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.64 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Takumi Minamino · Monaco · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 0.64 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AS Monaco
1Draws
3Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–1
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–4
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 15–2
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco14 matchesParis Saint-Germain14 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.93 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.8 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 6.57 shots/match
54.1%Possession14/14● 70.7%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.29 corners/match
2.79 cards/matchCards14/141.29 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required