Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse — Ligue 1 2025/26 Match Stats

Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 20:05 UTCOrange Vélodrome

Olympique de Marseille

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2–2Historical match

Toulouse

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse drew 2–2.

Shots: 206
Shots on target: 54
Expected goals: 1.80.7
Possession: 77%23%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille and Toulouse drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Toulouse): shots 20–6, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.8–0.7, possession 77%–23%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goal/match	1.43 goals/match	1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Toulouse have a visible away split

moderate

Toulouse's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.71 shots/match	13 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1% ●PossessionMarseille · Toulouse42.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Marseille	Toulouse	Baseline
Possession	60.1%	42.2%	47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots20 shots6 shotsOlympique de Marseille 20 shots, Toulouse 6 shots
Shots on target5 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 5 shots, Toulouse 4 shots
Expected goals1.8 xG0.7 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.8 xG, Toulouse 0.7 xG
Possession77%23%Olympique de Marseille 77%, Toulouse 23%
Corners9 corners1 cornerOlympique de Marseille 9 corners, Toulouse 1 corner
Fouls7 fouls10 foulsOlympique de Marseille 7 fouls, Toulouse 10 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards1 cardOlympique de Marseille 2 cards, Toulouse 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Marseille: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.76 xG. Toulouse: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 1.76 xG · Toulouse 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille

2Draws

0Toulouse

6 Apr 2025Olympique de Marseille — Toulouse · Ligue 13–2

31 Aug 2024Toulouse — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–3

21 Apr 2024Toulouse — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–2

17 Sept 2023Olympique de Marseille — Toulouse · Ligue 10–0

19 Feb 2023Toulouse — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille14 matchesToulouse14 matches

2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.43 goals/match

1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match

2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.46 xG/match

14.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/1413 shots/match

6 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match

60.1% ●Possession14/1442.2%

5.64 corners/match ●Corners14/144.93 corners/match

2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded