UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeOrange VelodromeFull-time recap

Marseille

LWLL

2–1Full-time recap

Newcastle United

LWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Marseille	Newcastle United
Shots	18 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2 xG/match▲	1.46 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	11 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	0 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Marseille: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.08 xG. Newcastle United: 20 shots, 9 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 2.08 xG · Newcastle United 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsMarseille · Newcastle United14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Marseille	Newcastle United	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	16.6 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Marseille favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 9 · 4 too close

1.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.94 xG/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.02 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/514 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲14.6 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲7 shots/match

7.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲5 shots/match

52.6%Possessionseason · 5/549.2%

4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/56 corners/match

5.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Marseille60.7

Newcastle United46.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Marseille51.1

Newcastle United71

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Marseille30.5

Newcastle United55.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Marseille41.7

Newcastle United56

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Marseille89.3

Newcastle United15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Marseille41.7

Newcastle United85.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Marseille58.4

Newcastle United59

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.94 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

52.6%Possession5/549.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.94 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

52.6%Possession5/549.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.94 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

52.6%Possession5/549.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

14 shots/matchShots3/2—

5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

53%Possession3/2—

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4