PitchMath
Premier League · 2025St. James' Park

Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 2–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
54
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle beat Manchester City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Newcastle – Manchester City): shots 9–17, shots on target 5–4, possession 33%–67%, corners 5–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsNewcastle United 9 shots, Manchester City 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsNewcastle United 5 shots, Manchester City 4 shots
  • Possession33%67%Newcastle United 33%, Manchester City 67%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersNewcastle United 5 corners, Manchester City 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsNewcastle United 13 fouls, Manchester City 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsNewcastle United 1 card, Manchester City 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newcastle United
1Draws
4Manchester City
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League4–0
Newcastle United — Manchester City · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Manchester City · Premier League2–3
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Manchester City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United12 matchesManchester City12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.83 goals/match
11.7 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.08 shots/match
49.7%Possession12/12● 57.3%
5.42 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.92 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards12/121.75 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/129.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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