UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEtihad StadiumFull-time recap

Manchester City

WDWW

0–2Full-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester City	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots	19 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	55%	45%
Corners	9 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester City: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.80 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.80 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match▲ShotsManchester City · Bayer 04 Leverkusen9.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester City	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Shots	17.6 shots/match	9.8 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	7.8 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.2%▲PossessionManchester City · Bayer 04 Leverkusen46.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester City	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Possession	63.2%	46.2%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester City favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 1 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.36 xG/match

0.91 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.68 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/59.8 shots/match

7.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/516.4 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match

2.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55.8 shots/match

63.2%Possessionseason · 5/546.2%

5.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.6 corners/match

3.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/540%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester City96.4

Bayer 04 Leverkusen27.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester City79.6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen25.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester City90.1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester City53.6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen17.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester City15.5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester City76.2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester City65.2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen14.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.36 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/546.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.36 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/546.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.36 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/546.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match

1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.82 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match

8.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match

59.7%Possession3/352%

7.33 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

6 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4