PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeVitality StadiumFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBournemouthWest Ham
Shots28 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession76%24%
Corners9 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

West Ham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsBournemouth · West Ham10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthWest HamBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match15.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bournemouth have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8%▲PossessionBournemouth · West Ham43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthWest HamBaseline
Possession52.8%43.8%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 1 · 4 too close

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.25 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/122.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1210 shots/match
11.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1215.8 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123.92 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/125.58 shots/match
52.8%Possessionseason · 12/1243.8%
6.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.42 corners/match
4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/126.92 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.67 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth67.5
West Ham22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth75
West Ham39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth35
West Ham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth87.5
West Ham27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth90
West Ham36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth82.5
West Ham67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth81.2
West Ham46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/541.4%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/1042.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.25 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/122.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots12/1210 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.92 shots/match
52.8%Possession12/1243.8%
6.08 corners/matchCorners12/125.42 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/121.67 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots6/69.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
58%Possession6/644.7%
6 corners/matchCorners6/64.67 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBournemouthWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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