PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

LLLWL
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamSunderland
Shots24 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sunderland's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sunderland's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sunderland's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sunderland's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sunderland have a visible away split

moderate

Sunderland's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.58 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match▲ShotsFulham · Sunderland9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamSunderlandBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match9.58 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Sunderland in 4 · 5 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/129.58 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1214.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/122.67 shots/match
4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.58 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 12/1243.3%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.33 corners/match
5.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.58 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/121.92 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129.83 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲33%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham62.5
Sunderland17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham36.7
Sunderland16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham55
Sunderland36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham37.5
Sunderland22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham76.2
Sunderland35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham47.5
Sunderland12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham58.1
Sunderland11.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/542.4%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.6 shots/match
50.7%Possession10/1042.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/match▲Shots12/129.58 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.67 shots/match
50.8%Possession12/1243.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/123.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/129.83 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots6/68 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.17 shots/match
52.7%Possession6/643.7%
6.17 corners/matchCorners6/63 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFulhamSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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