PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

Fulham

LLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamFulham
Shots14 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession63%37%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.54 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match9.54 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tottenham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.54 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham · Fulham11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenhamFulhamBaseline
Shots9.54 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 5 · 5 too close

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.15 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.31 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.54 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲11.7 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲10.9 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲3.62 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4 shots/match
53.6%Possessionseason · 13/1349.7%
5.85 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135 corners/match
5.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/135.31 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲2 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham72.5
Fulham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham37.5
Fulham34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham51.7
Fulham60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham2.5
Fulham32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham80
Fulham75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham80
Fulham37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham46.9
Fulham51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match
51%Possession5/551.2%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.1 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match
53%Possession10/1049.8%
6.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.62 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.54 shots/matchShots13/13▲11.7 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.62 shots/match
53.6%Possession13/1349.7%
5.85 corners/matchCorners13/135 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShots7/79.71 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.57 shots/match
56.9%Possession7/747.1%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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