PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse 0–1 Angers · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

Angers

DWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Angers won 0–1.

Shots
256
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.980.43
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Angers beat Toulouse 1–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Angers): shots 25–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.98–0.43, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Toulouse have a visible home split

moderate

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Toulouse show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Toulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · Angers8.69 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseAngersBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match8.69 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots6 shotsToulouse 25 shots, Angers 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsToulouse 6 shots, Angers 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG0.43 xGToulouse 1.98 xG, Angers 0.43 xG
  • Possession54%46%Toulouse 54%, Angers 46%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerToulouse 11 corners, Angers 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsToulouse 15 fouls, Angers 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsToulouse 1 card, Angers 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Louis Mouton · Angers · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFrank Magri · Toulouse · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDayann Methalie · Toulouse · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDayann Methalie · Toulouse · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNoah Edjouma · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Vossah · Toulouse · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDayann Methalie · Toulouse · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMark McKenzie · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 16′ · 0.07 xG · goalMark McKenzie · Toulouse · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMark McKenzie · Toulouse · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNoah Edjouma · Toulouse · 85′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlexis Vossah · Toulouse · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 5′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNoah Edjouma · Toulouse · 89′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.26 xG · on targetEmersonn · Toulouse · 85′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 25 shots, 6 on target, 2.10 xG. Angers: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 2.10 xG · Angers 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Toulouse
1Draws
0Angers
Angers — Toulouse · Ligue 10–4
Toulouse — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Angers — Toulouse · Ligue 10–2
Toulouse — Angers · Ligue 13–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse13 matchesAngers13 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.91 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/138.69 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133 shots/match
43.7% ●Possession13/1339.6%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners13/133.77 corners/match
2.62 cards/matchCards13/131.54 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseAngers
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headToulouse — Angers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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