PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

WDLWW
1–2Full-time recap

Lens

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersLens
Shots7 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession45%55%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Adrien Thomasson · Lens · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalMatthieu Udol · Lens · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 26′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 5′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetProsper Peter · Angers · 76′ · 0.30 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 6′ · 0.45 xG · on targetIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 56′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedDjibirin Harouna · Angers · 76′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG. Lens: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Djibirin Harouna · Angers · 76′Florian Thauvin · Lens · 45′Florian Thauvin · Lens · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 1.50 xG · Lens 2.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.57 shots/match▲ShotsAngers · Lens13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersLensBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lens in 8 · 5 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.71 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.86 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.57 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.4 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲13.2 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲5.14 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.71 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 14/1447%
3.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.86 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.79 corners/match
1.5 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.43 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Lens41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers9.3
Lens76
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers33.3
Lens68.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers8.3
Lens91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers15.2
Lens69.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers19.4
Lens80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers14.6
Lens76.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/554.4%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
43%Possession10/1046%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.71 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.57 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.4 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.14 shots/match
40%Possession14/1447%
3.64 corners/matchCorners14/145.86 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShots7/7▲12 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.57 shots/match
42.7%Possession7/744.3%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/73.71 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/72.86 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls7/714.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.01 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersLens
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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