PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

Lille

WLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.181.62
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Lille): shots 14–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.18–1.62, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · Lille15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreLilleBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match9.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsLe Havre 14 shots, Lille 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsLe Havre 7 shots, Lille 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.62 xGLe Havre 1.18 xG, Lille 1.62 xG
  • Possession43%57%Le Havre 43%, Lille 57%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersLe Havre 6 corners, Lille 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsLe Havre 15 fouls, Lille 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsLe Havre 1 card, Lille 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReda Khadra · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLoic Négo · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Lille · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGodson Kyeremeh · Le Havre · 9′ · 0.32 xG · on targetEthan Mbappé · Lille · 77′ · 0.33 xG · on targetHamza Igamane · Lille · 88′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.17 xG. Lille: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hamza Igamane · Lille · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.17 xG · Lille 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Le Havre
0Draws
3Lille
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–2
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–3
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre14 matchesLille14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 2.05 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.21 shots/match
45.9%Possession14/14● 57.2%
4.29 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.71 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLe Havre — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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