PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeAllianz RivieraFull-time recap

Nice

WLLLL
0–1Full-time recap

Angers

DLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNiceAngers
Shots13 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Melvin Bard · Nice · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Nice · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Ndombélé · Nice · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Nice · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 56′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAntoine Mendy · Nice · 40′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 29′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 39′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 33′ · 0.34 xG · goalIsak Jansson · Nice · 78′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Angers: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.30 xG · Angers 0.87 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nice favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 3 · 7 too close

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.87 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/158.53 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1515.3 shots/match
3.93 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.2 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/155.4 shots/match
47.3%Possessionseason · 15/1540.7%
4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.47 corners/match
5.87 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/155.87 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 15/15▲1.47 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲33%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nice41.7
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nice38
Angers10.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nice10.2
Angers33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nice47.2
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nice61.1
Angers16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nice63.9
Angers19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nice50
Angers15.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/match▲Shots5/57.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/547.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/match▲Shots10/108.7 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
41.7%Possession10/1044.7%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/match▲Shots15/158.53 shots/match
3.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.2 shots/match
47.3%Possession15/1540.7%
4.93 corners/matchCorners15/153.47 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards15/151.47 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots8/87.5 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.5 shots/match
47.6%Possession8/838.9%
5.13 corners/matchCorners8/82.63 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/81.25 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNiceAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match