PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 0–1 Angers · Ligue 1

Nice

WLLLL
0–1Historical match

Angers

DLWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Angers won 0–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.310.83
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Angers beat Nice 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Angers): shots 13–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.31–0.83, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsNice 13 shots, Angers 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsNice 3 shots, Angers 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.83 xGNice 1.31 xG, Angers 0.83 xG
  • Possession50%50%Nice 50%, Angers 50%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerNice 4 corners, Angers 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsNice 11 fouls, Angers 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNice 1 card, Angers 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Melvin Bard · Nice · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Nice · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Ndombélé · Nice · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Nice · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 56′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAntoine Mendy · Nice · 40′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 29′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 39′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 33′ · 0.34 xG · goalIsak Jansson · Nice · 78′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Angers: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.30 xG · Angers 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nice
1Draws
1Angers
Nice — Angers · Ligue 12–1
Angers — Nice · Ligue 11–4
Angers — Nice · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Angers · Ligue 10–1
Nice — Angers · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Angers in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice15 matchesAngers15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.92 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/158.53 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.2 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession15/1540.7%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners15/153.47 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards15/151.47 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceAngers
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — Angers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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