Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes 1–1 Lorient · Ligue 1

Nantes

LWLLD
1–1Historical match

Lorient

DLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes and Lorient drew 1–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.840.32
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes and Lorient drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Lorient): shots 9–7, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.84–0.32, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNantes · Lorient11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantesLorientBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match9.85 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsNantes 9 shots, Lorient 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotNantes 1 shot, Lorient 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.84 xG0.32 xGNantes 0.84 xG, Lorient 0.32 xG
  • Possession56%44%Nantes 56%, Lorient 44%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerNantes 1 corner, Lorient 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsNantes 17 fouls, Lorient 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNantes 1 card, Lorient 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoah Cadiou · Lorient · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHyeok-kyu Kwon · Nantes · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMayckel Lahdo · Nantes · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarim Dermane · Lorient · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Nantes · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 2′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChidozie Awaziem · Lorient · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChidozie Awaziem · Nantes · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 72′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 22′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.83 xG. Lorient: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Chidozie Awaziem · Nantes · 90′Chidozie Awaziem · Lorient · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.83 xG · Lorient 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Nantes
0Draws
1Lorient
Lorient — Nantes · Ligue 10–1
Nantes — Lorient · Ligue 15–3
Nantes — Lorient · Ligue 11–0
Lorient — Nantes · Ligue 13–2
Nantes — Lorient · Ligue 14–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes13 matchesLorient13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.32 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 11.5 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.62 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/13● 44.2%
3.54 corners/match ●Corners13/133.31 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls13/1311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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