PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

Nantes

WLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 3–0.

Shots
206
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.350.86
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lyon beat Nantes 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lyon – Nantes): shots 20–6, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.35–0.86, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lyon show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lyon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLyon · Nantes9.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLyonNantesBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match9.93 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match16.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionLyon · Nantes42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLyonNantesBaseline
Possession55.4%42.7%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 20 shots, Nantes 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 8 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG0.86 xGOlympique Lyonnais 2.35 xG, Nantes 0.86 xG
  • Possession72%28%Olympique Lyonnais 72%, Nantes 28%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 7 corners, Nantes 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 14 fouls, Nantes 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsOlympique Lyonnais 1 card, Nantes 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Martín Satriano · Lyon · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathys de Carvalho · Lyon · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Lyon · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHans Hateboer · Lyon · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 51′ · 0.08 xG · goalPavel Šulc · Lyon · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTyler Morton · Lyon · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdam Karabec · Lyon · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 70′ · 0.13 xG · goalAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 5′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Lyon · 77′ · 0.25 xG · goalJunior Mwanga · Nantes · 14′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedHans Hateboer · Lyon · 17′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 73′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lyon: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.37 xG. Nantes: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Abner Vinícius · Lyon · 51′Martín Satriano · Lyon · 70′Martín Satriano · Lyon · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 2.37 xG · Nantes 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique Lyonnais
2Draws
0Nantes
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–3
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais14 matchesNantes14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.8 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/149.93 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.43 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession14/1442.7%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners14/143.29 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards14/141.71 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required