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Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 3–2 Metz · Ligue 1

3–2Historical match

Metz

LLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 3–2.

Shots
207
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
3.111.05
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 beat Metz 3–2. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Metz): shots 20–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 3.11–1.05, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Metz8.69 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29MetzBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match8.69 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match15.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 20 shots, Metz 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 7 shots, Metz 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.11 xG1.05 xGStade Brestois 3.11 xG, Metz 1.05 xG
  • Possession56%44%Stade Brestois 56%, Metz 44%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersStade Brestois 6 corners, Metz 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsStade Brestois 11 fouls, Metz 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsStade Brestois 2 cards, Metz 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maxime Colin · Metz · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGauthier Hein · Metz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois 29 · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 48′ · 0.07 xG · goalPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 2′ · 0.09 xG · goalKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSoumaila Coulibaly · Metz · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 26′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz · 87′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 44′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 63′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 6′ · 0.35 xG · goalJoel Asoro · Metz · 63′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 20 shots, 7 on target, 3.18 xG. Metz: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Pathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 2′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 48′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′Georgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 6′Soumaila Coulibaly · Metz · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 3.18 xG · Metz 1.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Brestois
0Draws
1Metz
Stade Brestois — Metz · Ligue 14–3
Metz — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Metz — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Metz · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois13 matchesMetz13 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/132.31 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.23 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/138.69 shots/match
3.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/132.92 shots/match
44.6%Possession13/13● 48.2%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners13/134.08 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/131.85 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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