PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 0–1 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Metz

LWWWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 0–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.020.78
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Metz 1–0. Recorded in this match (Metz – Rennes): shots 16–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.02–0.78, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.43 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.43 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.21 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · Rennes13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzRennesBaseline
Shots9.21 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsMetz 16 shots, Stade Rennais 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsMetz 5 shots, Stade Rennais 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG0.78 xGMetz 1.02 xG, Stade Rennais 0.78 xG
  • Possession52%48%Metz 52%, Stade Rennais 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersMetz 6 corners, Stade Rennais 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsMetz 9 fouls, Stade Rennais 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsMetz 0 cards, Stade Rennais 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Georgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 25′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Rennes · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Bokele Mputu · Metz · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 22′ · 0.04 xG · goalJessy Deminguet · Metz · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbou Sane · Metz · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTerry Yegbe · Metz · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbou Sane · Metz · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoel Asoro · Metz · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Rennes · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMalick Mbaye · Metz · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoel Asoro · Metz · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 61′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 83′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedTerry Yegbe · Metz · 33′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.04 xG. Rennes: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Valentin Rongier · Rennes · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 1.04 xG · Rennes 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Metz
0Draws
4Stade Rennais
Metz — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–3
Stade Rennais — Metz · Ligue 15–1
Stade Rennais — Metz · Ligue 16–1
Metz — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz14 matchesStade Rennais14 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.71 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.55 xG/match
9.21 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.71 shots/match
48.4%Possession14/14● 50.8%
4.21 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.29 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headMetz — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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