PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTCFull timeRoazhon ParkFull-time recap

Rennes

DLDWW
4–1Full-time recap

Monaco

DWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRennesMonaco
Shots17 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls3 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mousa Tamari · Rennes · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 50′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Rennes · 41′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 32′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 50′ · 0.52 xG · on targetMika Biereth · Monaco · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goalAbdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 20′ · 0.55 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Rennes · 48′ · 0.59 xG · goalBreel Embolo · Rennes · 73′ · 0.59 xG · goalLudovic Blas · Rennes · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rennes: 17 shots, 9 on target, 3.76 xG. Monaco: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 20′Mahdi Camara · Rennes · 48′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 73′Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 83′Mika Biereth · Monaco · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rennes 3.76 xG · Monaco 1.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible home split

moderate

Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsRennes · Monaco12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRennesMonacoBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rennes favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Monaco in 2 · 7 too close

1.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.92 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.92 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1312.9 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲13.4 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/134.08 shots/match
3.77 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.31 shots/match
51%Possessionseason · 13/1355%
5.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.46 corners/match
4.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.77 corners/match
2.15 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132.69 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/138%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rennes63.9
Monaco75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rennes75
Monaco65.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rennes47.2
Monaco30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rennes69.4
Monaco30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rennes36.1
Monaco80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rennes75
Monaco36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rennes66.7
Monaco54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/552.2%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/matchShots10/1013.7 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.5 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1054.8%
6.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.92 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/matchShots13/1312.9 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.08 shots/match
51%Possession13/1355%
5.46 corners/matchCorners13/134.46 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards13/132.69 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
2.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.67 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.7 shots/match▲Shots7/611.2 shots/match
5.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.67 shots/match
49.1%Possession7/655%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/64.5 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards7/63.83 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls7/614.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRennesMonaco
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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