PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Roazhon Park

Stade Rennais 4–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 4–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.691.33
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Monaco 4–1. Recorded in this match (Rennes – Monaco): shots 17–13, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.69–1.33, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible home split

moderate

Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRennes · Monaco12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRennesMonacoBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsStade Rennais 17 shots, AS Monaco 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsStade Rennais 9 shots, AS Monaco 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.69 xG1.33 xGStade Rennais 3.69 xG, AS Monaco 1.33 xG
  • Possession50%50%Stade Rennais 50%, AS Monaco 50%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersStade Rennais 4 corners, AS Monaco 6 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls13 foulsStade Rennais 3 fouls, AS Monaco 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardStade Rennais 0 cards, AS Monaco 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mousa Tamari · Rennes · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Rennes · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 50′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Rennes · 41′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Monaco · 32′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 50′ · 0.52 xG · on targetMika Biereth · Monaco · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goalAbdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 20′ · 0.55 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Rennes · 48′ · 0.59 xG · goalBreel Embolo · Rennes · 73′ · 0.59 xG · goalLudovic Blas · Rennes · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rennes: 17 shots, 9 on target, 3.76 xG. Monaco: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 20′Mahdi Camara · Rennes · 48′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 73′Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 83′Mika Biereth · Monaco · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rennes 3.76 xG · Monaco 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
0Draws
4AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–2
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais13 matchesAS Monaco13 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 2.14 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots13/1312.9 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.08 shots/match
51%Possession13/13● 55%
5.46 corners/match ●Corners13/134.46 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards13/132.69 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Rennais — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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