PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–0.

Shots
3112
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
3.461.19
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Le Havre 3–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Le Havre): shots 31–12, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 3.46–1.19, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

71.8% ●PossessionParis Saint Germain · Le Havre46.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLe HavreBaseline
Possession71.8%46.2%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Le Havre11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLe HavreBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against8.77 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots12 shotsParis Saint-Germain 31 shots, Le Havre 12 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 11 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.46 xG1.19 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.46 xG, Le Havre 1.19 xG
  • Possession65%35%Paris Saint-Germain 65%, Le Havre 35%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersParis Saint-Germain 6 corners, Le Havre 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsParis Saint-Germain 10 fouls, Le Havre 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardParis Saint-Germain 2 cards, Le Havre 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.12 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 70′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 87′ · 0.16 xG · goalYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 14′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.26 xG · goalIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 25′ · 0.60 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 31 shots, 11 on target, 3.52 xG. Le Havre: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 29′João Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 65′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 3.52 xG · Le Havre 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
0Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 13–3
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain13 matchesLe Havre13 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.23 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
6.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match
71.8% ●Possession13/1346.2%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners13/134.15 corners/match
1.31 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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