PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 20:05 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricParis Saint GermainLe Havre
Shots31 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession65%35%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYanis Zouaoui · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.12 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 70′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 87′ · 0.16 xG · goalYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 14′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.26 xG · goalIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 25′ · 0.60 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 31 shots, 11 on target, 3.52 xG. Le Havre: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 29′João Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 65′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 3.52 xG · Le Havre 1.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

71.8%▲PossessionParis Saint Germain · Le Havre46.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLe HavreBaseline
Possession71.8%46.2%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Le Havre11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLe HavreBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against8.77 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 4 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1311.5 shots/match
8.77 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match
6.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.54 shots/match
2.69 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.15 shots/match
71.8%Possessionseason · 13/1346.2%
6.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.15 corners/match
2.77 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/134.54 corners/match
1.31 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1314.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
54%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain97.2
Le Havre36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain95.4
Le Havre27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain96.3
Le Havre47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain58.3
Le Havre63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain2.8
Le Havre58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain91.7
Le Havre25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain72.2
Le Havre43
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
73.4%Possession5/549.8%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
70.2%Possession10/1047.6%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
6.77 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match
71.8%Possession13/1346.2%
6.46 corners/matchCorners13/134.15 corners/match
1.31 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.57 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.7 shots/match▲Shots6/79.57 shots/match
7.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73 shots/match
71.8%Possession6/741.1%
7 corners/matchCorners6/73.57 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/72 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsParis Saint GermainLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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