PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 1–0 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WWLWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–0.

Shots
137
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.920.46
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Strasbourg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lens – Strasbourg): shots 13–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.92–0.46, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.85 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsRC Lens 13 shots, RC Strasbourg 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotRC Lens 5 shots, RC Strasbourg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.92 xG0.46 xGRC Lens 1.92 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.46 xG
  • Possession55%45%RC Lens 55%, RC Strasbourg 45%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerRC Lens 3 corners, RC Strasbourg 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsRC Lens 13 fouls, RC Strasbourg 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRC Lens 2 cards, RC Strasbourg 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Thauvin · Lens · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFélix Lemaréchal · Strasbourg · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sarr · Strasbourg · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 5′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · Lens · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 49′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · Strasbourg · 9′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 43′ · 0.19 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 41′ · 0.22 xG · on targetIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 69′ · 0.24 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 1′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG. Strasbourg: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ismaelo Ganiou · Lens · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 1.89 xG · Strasbourg 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Lens
1Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–2
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 12–2
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens13 matchesRC Strasbourg13 matches
1.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.85 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.82 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
5.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.54 shots/match
46.4%Possession13/13● 50.2%
5.77 corners/match ●Corners13/133.23 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards13/132.62 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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