PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

Auxerre

LLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC and Auxerre drew 1–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.81.11
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC and Auxerre drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Auxerre): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.8–1.11, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible home split

moderate

Paris FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6% ●PossessionParis FC · Auxerre44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis FCAuxerreBaseline
Possession54.6%44.3%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsParis FC 11 shots, Auxerre 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsParis FC 2 shots, Auxerre 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.11 xGParis FC 1.8 xG, Auxerre 1.11 xG
  • Possession55%45%Paris FC 55%, Auxerre 45%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersParis FC 4 corners, Auxerre 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsParis FC 11 fouls, Auxerre 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardParis FC 2 cards, Auxerre 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOtávio · Paris FC · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Cafaro · Paris FC · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlimami Gory · Paris FC · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Auxerre · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 77′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKévin Danois · Auxerre · 5′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedSinaly Diomandé · Auxerre · 40′ · 0.30 xG · goalAdama Camara · Paris FC · 48′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.82 xG. Auxerre: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC · 32′Sinaly Diomandé · Auxerre · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 1.82 xG · Auxerre 1.09 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Auxerre in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC14 matchesAuxerre14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.08 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.43 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession14/1444.3%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners14/144.71 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis FCAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required