PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStade de l'Abbé DeschampsFull-time recap

Auxerre

DLLLL
0–0Full-time recap

Lyon

LWDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAuxerreLyon
Shots12 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession30%70%
Corners7 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathys de Carvalho · Lyon · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdil Hamdani · Lyon · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSékou Mara · Auxerre · 38′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 67′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Lyon · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMoussa Niakhaté · Lyon · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 7′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 13′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 80′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 53′ · 0.58 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 25′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.09 xG. Lyon: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 2.09 xG · Lyon 1.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.54 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%▲PossessionAuxerre · Lyon54.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreLyonBaseline
Possession44.2%54.1%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Auxerre favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lyon in 8 · 5 too close

0.54 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.38 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.15 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲12.1 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.7 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.38 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲3.31 shots/match
44.2%Possessionseason · 13/1354.1%
4.85 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.46 corners/match
4.85 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.15 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲2.38 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1314.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲54%
46%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Auxerre22.2
Lyon69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Auxerre13.9
Lyon52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Auxerre38.9
Lyon72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Auxerre36.1
Lyon13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Auxerre76.4
Lyon73.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Auxerre50
Lyon88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Auxerre41
Lyon72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/548.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
42.9%Possession10/1054.7%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.38 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.15 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots13/13▲12.1 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.38 shots/match
44.2%Possession13/1354.1%
4.85 corners/matchCorners13/136.46 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.14 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots7/7▲11.4 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.29 shots/match
43.4%Possession7/754.3%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/76.71 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/72.71 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAuxerreLyon
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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