Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 4–2 Paris FC · Ligue 1

Lille

WWLWL
4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 4–2.

Shots
176
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
4.031.52
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Paris FC 4–2. Recorded in this match (Lille – Paris FC): shots 17–6, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 4.03–1.52, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC have a visible away split

moderate

Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.86 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.86 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Paris FC12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleParis FCBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.15 shots/match11.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsLille 17 shots, Paris FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsLille 10 shots, Paris FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals4.03 xG1.52 xGLille 4.03 xG, Paris FC 1.52 xG
  • Possession52%48%Lille 52%, Paris FC 48%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersLille 9 corners, Paris FC 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsLille 9 fouls, Paris FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLille 1 card, Paris FC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nabil Bentaleb · Lille · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHamza Igamane · Lille · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHamza Igamane · Lille · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Broholm · Lille · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHamza Igamane · Lille · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetChancel Mbemba · Lille · 61′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHamza Igamane · Lille · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 16′ · 0.22 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 40′ · 0.25 xG · goalLohann Doucet · Paris FC · 84′ · 0.28 xG · goalVincent Marchetti · Paris FC · 70′ · 0.50 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 42′ · 0.57 xG · on targetWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 11′ · 0.67 xG · goalAïssa Mandi · Lille · 80′ · 0.70 xG · goalOlivier Giroud · Lille · 77′ · 0.82 xG · goalMarius Broholm · Lille · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 17 shots, 10 on target, 4.07 xG. Paris FC: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Olivier Giroud · Lille · 40′Olivier Giroud · Lille · 77′Aïssa Mandi · Lille · 80′Marius Broholm · Lille · 90′Willem Geubbels · Paris FC · 11′Lohann Doucet · Paris FC · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 4.07 xG · Paris FC 1.58 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Paris FC in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille13 matchesParis FC13 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.54 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.38 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.8 shots/match
5.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession13/1354.6%
7.08 corners/match ●Corners13/134.85 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/132.15 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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