PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachRB Leipzig
Shots7 shots/match20 shots/match▲
Shots on target0 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession42%58%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach · RB Leipzig16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match16.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 9 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.83 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲16.8 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲13.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.75 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.58 shots/match
45.7%Possessionseason · 12/1249.4%
4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/126.33 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.83 corners/match
1.58 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/121.67 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
42%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4
RB Leipzig52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6
RB Leipzig86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach32.4
RB Leipzig73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
RB Leipzig91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.4
RB Leipzig25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach52.8
RB Leipzig97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach43.1
RB Leipzig76.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲18 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.8 shots/match
38%Possession5/550.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
0.6 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/57.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲17 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.3 shots/match
43.8%Possession10/1049%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.7 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.83 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots12/12▲16.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.75 shots/match
45.7%Possession12/1249.4%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/126.33 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCards12/121.67 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/129.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.43 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.43 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲16.6 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.29 shots/match
43.3%Possession7/748.4%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/76 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/71.71 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia MönchengladbachRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match