PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig 2–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–0.

Shots
2215
Shots on target
136
Expected goals
2.10.8
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Werder Bremen 2–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen): shots 22–15, shots on target 13–6, expected goals 2.1–0.8, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Leipzig's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Werder Bremen12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigWerder BremenBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots15 shotsRB Leipzig 22 shots, SV Werder Bremen 15 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots6 shotsRB Leipzig 13 shots, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.1 xG0.8 xGRB Leipzig 2.1 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.8 xG
  • Possession52%48%RB Leipzig 52%, SV Werder Bremen 48%
  • Corners13 corners7 cornersRB Leipzig 13 corners, SV Werder Bremen 7 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls7 foulsRB Leipzig 5 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRB Leipzig 1 card, SV Werder Bremen 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Assan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAmos Pieper · Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · RB Leipzig · 86′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 63′ · 0.08 xG · goalJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 80′ · 0.13 xG · goalChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 24′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 26′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 39′ · 0.29 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 22 shots, 13 on target, 2.07 xG. Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Assan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 63′Xaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 2.07 xG · Werder Bremen 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RB Leipzig
3Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig11 matchesSV Werder Bremen11 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.3 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.5 shots/match
5.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.82 shots/match
48.6%Possession11/11● 49.5%
6.36 corners/match ●Corners11/114.27 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards11/112.73 cards/match
9.55 fouls/matchFouls11/119.27 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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