PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeRheinEnergieStadionFull-time recap
3–4Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric1. FC KölnEintracht Frankfurt
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession47%53%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.45 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.5%▲Possession1. FC Köln · Eintracht Frankfurt56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession46.5%56%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Köln favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 6 · 7 too close

1.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲2.45 goals/match
1.73 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1113.2 shots/match
14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲11.2 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲4.91 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.45 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 11/1156%
4.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.73 corners/match
6.82 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲2.82 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.64 cards/match
9.36 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/119.73 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
91%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1191%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Köln27.8
Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Köln61.1
Eintracht Frankfurt71.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Köln39.8
Eintracht Frankfurt55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Köln80.6
Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln22.2
Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln25
Eintracht Frankfurt47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Köln38.9
Eintracht Frankfurt49.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
49%Possession5/556.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.3 goals/match
1.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.7 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
46.3%Possession10/1056.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲2.45 goals/match
1.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/matchShots11/1113.2 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.91 shots/match
46.5%Possession11/1156%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/114.73 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards11/111.64 cards/match
9.36 fouls/matchFouls11/119.73 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲2.83 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/62.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/613 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64.67 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/656.3%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/65.17 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/62.17 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/69.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
Teams1. FC KölnEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match