PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025RheinEnergieStadion

1. FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 3–4.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.221.81
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FC Köln 4–3. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 11–11, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.22–1.81, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.45 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.5%Possession1. FC Köln · Eintracht Frankfurt● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession46.5%56%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shots1. FC Köln 11 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shots1. FC Köln 5 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.81 xG1. FC Köln 1.22 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.81 xG
  • Possession47%53%1. FC Köln 47%, Eintracht Frankfurt 53%
  • Corners3 corners3 corners1. FC Köln 3 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls5 fouls1. FC Köln 6 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cards1. FC Köln 0 cards, Eintracht Frankfurt 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ritsu Doan · Eintracht Frankfurt · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenis Huseinbašić · 1. FC Köln · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRagnar Ache · 1. FC Köln · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 39′ · 0.08 xG · goalMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 4′ · 0.09 xG · goalFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 83′ · 0.10 xG · goalSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 87′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoel Schmied · 1. FC Köln · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goalJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 2′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 63′ · 0.42 xG · goalJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 59′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.20 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jakub Kamiński · 1. FC Köln · 4′Marius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 83′Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′Arthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 39′Mahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′Jonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 59′Jonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 1.20 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 2.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Köln
2Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln11 matchesEintracht Frankfurt11 matches
1.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2.45 goals/match
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.56 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/1113.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.91 shots/match
46.5%Possession11/11● 56%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.73 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards11/111.64 cards/match
9.36 fouls/matchFouls11/119.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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