PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.170.94
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – 1. FC Köln): shots 17–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.17–0.94, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsSV Werder Bremen 17 shots, 1. FC Köln 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSV Werder Bremen 4 shots, 1. FC Köln 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.94 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.17 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.94 xG
  • Possession49%51%SV Werder Bremen 49%, 1. FC Köln 51%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersSV Werder Bremen 4 corners, 1. FC Köln 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsSV Werder Bremen 11 fouls, 1. FC Köln 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsSV Werder Bremen 2 cards, 1. FC Köln 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Stark · Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Sebulonsen · 1. FC Köln · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCenk Özkaçar · 1. FC Köln · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSaid El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 16′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · 1. FC Köln · 60′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.37 xG · goalLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 87′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.18 xG. 1. FC Köln: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marco Friedl · Werder Bremen · 22′Said El Mala · 1. FC Köln · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.18 xG · 1. FC Köln 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
11. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga7–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen12 matches1. FC Köln12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.67 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.5 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots12/1213.2 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.33 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession12/1246.9%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners12/123.92 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match
9.42 fouls/matchFouls12/129.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder Bremen1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required