PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtAtalanta
Shots9 shots/match21 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.96 xG/match2.84 xG/match▲
Possession46%54%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Éderson · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 77′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.17 xG · goalKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 11′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 38′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.31 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG. Atalanta: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 60′Éderson · Atalanta · 62′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.93 xG · Atalanta 2.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.4 shots/match▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · Atalanta15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtAtalantaBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible away split

weak

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 9 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲2.04 xG/match
2.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.38 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲15.6 shots/match
17.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲13.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4 shots/match
8.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲5.2 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 5/547.6%
3.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.6 corners/match
5.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲4.2 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
7.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt8.3
Atalanta34.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt16.3
Atalanta46.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt4.4
Atalanta55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt3.6
Atalanta79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt1.2
Atalanta29.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt9.5
Atalanta50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt4.8
Atalanta47.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.04 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
40.8%Possession5/547.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.04 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
40.8%Possession5/547.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.04 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
40.8%Possession5/547.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.55 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots3/3▲12 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match
39.7%Possession3/344.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtAtalanta
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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