PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtVfL Wolfsburg
Shots15 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession54%46%
Corners14 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.8%▲PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · VfL Wolfsburg45.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession55.8%45.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 6 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.17 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.83 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1212.7 shots/match
11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1214.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/124.17 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.83 shots/match
55.8%Possessionseason · 12/1245.6%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124 corners/match
2.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/127.92 corners/match
1.58 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
VfL Wolfsburg13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt74.1
VfL Wolfsburg36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt59.2
VfL Wolfsburg38
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
VfL Wolfsburg69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt16.6
VfL Wolfsburg52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt77.8
VfL Wolfsburg13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt59
VfL Wolfsburg37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match
57.2%Possession5/542.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
0.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
57.5%Possession10/1045.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.3 shots/matchShots12/1212.7 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.17 shots/match
55.8%Possession12/1245.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners12/124 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCards12/122 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots6/610.2 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63 shots/match
55.3%Possession6/645.5%
5.83 corners/matchCorners6/63 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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