PitchMath
Serie A · 2025New Balance Arena

Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–0.

Shots
2115
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.61.58
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Fiorentina 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Fiorentina): shots 21–15, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.6–1.58, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match15 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Fiorentina11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaFiorentinaBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots15 shotsAtalanta 21 shots, Fiorentina 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsAtalanta 9 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.58 xGAtalanta 1.6 xG, Fiorentina 1.58 xG
  • Possession48%52%Atalanta 48%, Fiorentina 52%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAtalanta 4 corners, Fiorentina 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsAtalanta 15 fouls, Fiorentina 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAtalanta 1 card, Fiorentina 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Simon Sohm · Fiorentina · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.02 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmir Richardson · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDodô · Fiorentina · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 36′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 27′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.28 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.44 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 47′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 21 shots, 9 on target, 1.63 xG. Fiorentina: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Odilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 41′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.63 xG · Fiorentina 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atalanta
1Draws
3Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A2–3
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta13 matchesFiorentina13 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.35 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/132.77 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession13/1350.2%
5.69 corners/match ●Corners13/134.62 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/132.54 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headAtalanta — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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