Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 0–1 Napoli · Serie A

Roma

WWLWW
0–1Historical match

Napoli

WWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 0–1.

Shots
87
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.521.17
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat AS Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Napoli): shots 8–7, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.52–1.17, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.54 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.62 corners/match ●CornersAS Roma · Napoli5.46 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaNapoliBaseline
Corners5.62 corners/match5.46 corners/match4.12 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsRoma 8 shots, Napoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRoma 2 shots, Napoli 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG1.17 xGRoma 0.52 xG, Napoli 1.17 xG
  • Possession56%44%Roma 56%, Napoli 44%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersRoma 4 corners, Napoli 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsRoma 14 fouls, Napoli 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsRoma 4 cards, Napoli 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zeki Çelik · AS Roma · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Napoli · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMario Hermoso · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 33′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 50′ · 0.39 xG · on targetDavid Neres · Napoli · 36′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Napoli: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′David Neres · Napoli · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 0.53 xG · Napoli 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
2Draws
2Napoli
Roma — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Roma · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Napoli · Serie A2–0
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma13 matchesNapoli13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/130.85 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.49 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots13/1313.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target13/135.23 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession13/1356.6%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners13/135.46 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards13/131.54 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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