PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

DDDWD
0–2Full-time recap

Inter

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaInter
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession40%60%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.77 shots/match▲ShotsPisa · Inter17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaInterBaseline
Shots9.77 shots/match17.9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.6%▲PossessionPisa · Inter60.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPisaInterBaseline
Possession38.6%60.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 4 too close

0.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.15 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲17.9 shots/match
16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲9 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲5.31 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲3.23 shots/match
38.6%Possessionseason · 13/1360.5%
3.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/137.31 corners/match
5.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲3.08 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲1.46 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲46%
46%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa12.5
Inter94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa19.2
Inter80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa62.5
Inter92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa40
Inter35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa10
Inter97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa16.9
Inter86.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
38%Possession5/563%
3 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲17.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match
38.6%Possession10/1060%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.7 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.15 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.77 shots/matchShots13/13▲17.9 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲5.31 shots/match
38.6%Possession13/1360.5%
3.23 corners/matchCorners13/137.31 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards13/131.46 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
0.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲1.83 goals/match
0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots7/6▲16.7 shots/match
2.29 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲4 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/658.3%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/66 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards7/61.67 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/613.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.76 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaInter
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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