UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeCívitas MetropolitanoFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

LWLW

2–1Full-time recap

Inter

WWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Inter
Shots	15 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	0.99 xG/match	1.36 xG/match▲
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	7 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG. Inter: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.01 xG · Inter 1.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.2 corners/match▲CornersAtlético Madrid · Inter5.8 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Inter	Baseline
Corners	6.2 corners/match	5.8 corners/match	4.6 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Inter19.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Inter	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	19.2 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	9.4 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

weak

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.7 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 4 too close

2.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/52.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲2.65 xG/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.69 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲19.2 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲9.4 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲6.4 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3.6 shots/match

51.8%Possessionseason · 5/557.8%

6.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.8 corners/match

3.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲3.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid63.1

Inter86.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid66.9

Inter83.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid37

Inter88.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid41.7

Inter84.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid36.9

Inter41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid86.9

Inter82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid59.8

Inter72

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.65 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.2 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/557.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.65 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.2 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/557.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.65 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.2 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/557.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match

2.58 xG/match▲Expected goals3/32.38 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲17.3 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target3/35.67 shots/match

55.3%Possession3/355.3%

7 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4