PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Cívitas Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid 2–1 Inter · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

Inter

WWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
0.991.36
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Inter 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Inter): shots 15–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 0.99–1.36, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.2 corners/match ●CornersAtlético Madrid · Inter5.8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridInterBaseline
Corners6.2 corners/match5.8 corners/match4.6 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Inter19.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridInterBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match19.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match9.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

weak

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsAtlético Madrid 15 shots, Inter 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsAtlético Madrid 6 shots, Inter 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.36 xGAtlético Madrid 0.99 xG, Inter 1.36 xG
  • Possession48%52%Atlético Madrid 48%, Inter 52%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersAtlético Madrid 7 corners, Inter 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsAtlético Madrid 12 fouls, Inter 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dávid Hancko · Atlético Madrid · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarc Pubill · Atlético Madrid · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalYann Bisseck · Inter · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 54′ · 0.10 xG · goalGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 59′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.15 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 46′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 9′ · 0.25 xG · goalFederico Dimarco · Inter · 50′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG. Inter: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 9′José María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 90′Piotr Zieliński · Inter · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.01 xG · Inter 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Inter
Atlético Madrid — Inter · UEFA Champions League2–1
Inter — Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid5 matchesInter5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.65 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 19.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.4 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/5● 57.8%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners5/55.8 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridInter
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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