PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Oviedo

LDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsAtletico Madrid · Oviedo8.64 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridOviedoBaseline
Shots14 shots/match8.64 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against9.43 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9%▲PossessionAtletico Madrid · Oviedo43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridOviedoBaseline
Possession54.9%43.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 0 · 4 too close

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.5 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.57 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/148.64 shots/match
9.43 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1416.5 shots/match
6.07 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/142.79 shots/match
2.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/146.71 shots/match
54.9%Possessionseason · 14/1443.6%
7.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.57 corners/match
3.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/146.5 corners/match
2.07 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.5 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1429%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid82.5
Oviedo17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid84.2
Oviedo2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid95.8
Oviedo13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid57.5
Oviedo12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid26.2
Oviedo51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid97.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid72.5
Oviedo13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
55%Possession5/545.4%
9.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
53%Possession10/1044.8%
7.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.5 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots14/148.64 shots/match
6.07 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.79 shots/match
54.9%Possession14/1443.6%
7.43 corners/matchCorners14/143.57 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/70.71 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots8/78.29 shots/match
7.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73 shots/match
56.1%Possession8/743%
9.25 corners/matchCorners8/73 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/73 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/712.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.29 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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