PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeCamp NouFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Shots19 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.47 corners/match▲CornersBarcelona · Atletico Madrid7.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaAtletico MadridBaseline
Corners6.47 corners/match7.2 corners/match4.86 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Atletico Madrid13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaAtletico MadridBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against8.87 shots/match10.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona, Atletico Madrid.

3.2 days▲Rest daysBarcelona · Atletico Madrid3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBarcelonaAtletico MadridBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Atletico Madrid in 4 · 5 too close

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.87 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1513.5 shots/match
8.87 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1510.1 shots/match
7.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/155.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲2.8 shots/match
67.3%Possessionseason · 15/1554.1%
6.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/157.2 corners/match
4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲3.27 corners/match
1.87 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 15/152 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲40%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Atletico Madrid77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona95.8
Atletico Madrid82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona82.5
Atletico Madrid90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona87.5
Atletico Madrid57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona5
Atletico Madrid25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona92.5
Atletico Madrid97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona71.2
Atletico Madrid71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.8 shots/match▲Shots5/514.8 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match
61%Possession5/554.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/59.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1014 shots/match
7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/106.1 shots/match
65.6%Possession10/1051.5%
6.8 corners/matchCorners10/107.5 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.87 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.9 shots/match▲Shots15/1513.5 shots/match
7.73 shots/match▲Shots on target15/155.8 shots/match
67.3%Possession15/1554.1%
6.47 corners/matchCorners15/157.2 corners/match
1.87 cards/matchCards15/152 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
3.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71.14 goals/match
0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.3 shots/match▲Shots8/711 shots/match
7.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/74.29 shots/match
66.3%Possession8/751.7%
6.5 corners/matchCorners8/74.86 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards8/72.29 cards/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/712.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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