PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia drew 1–1.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.30.71
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Valencia): shots 19–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.3–0.71, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Valencia10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoValenciaBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsRayo Vallecano 19 shots, Valencia 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsRayo Vallecano 7 shots, Valencia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG0.71 xGRayo Vallecano 1.3 xG, Valencia 0.71 xG
  • Possession56%44%Rayo Vallecano 56%, Valencia 44%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersRayo Vallecano 10 corners, Valencia 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsRayo Vallecano 11 fouls, Valencia 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRayo Vallecano 1 card, Valencia 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndré Almeida · Valencia · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 64′ · 0.08 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.10 xG · goalDiego López · Valencia · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 45′ · 0.30 xG · on targetFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.32 xG. Valencia: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nobel Mendy · Rayo Vallecano · 37′Diego López · Valencia · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.32 xG · Valencia 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
3Draws
1Valencia
Rayo Vallecano — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Rayo Vallecano — Valencia · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano14 matchesValencia14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.06 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession14/1447.1%
6.43 corners/match ●Corners14/145.07 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards14/141.93 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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