PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

LDLWD
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaReal Madrid
Shots10 shots/match25 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.43 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Real Madrid20.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaReal MadridBaseline
Shots9.43 shots/match20.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%▲PossessionGirona · Real Madrid59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGironaReal MadridBaseline
Possession47%59.7%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲2.07 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.43 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲20.1 shots/match
17.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲10.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲7.07 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.14 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 14/1459.7%
4.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/146.14 corners/match
6.07 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲3.14 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲1.86 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲43%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona37.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona25.8
Real Madrid93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona5
Real Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona12.5
Real Madrid97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona50
Real Madrid7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona27.5
Real Madrid77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona23.1
Real Madrid70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲22 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/552.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/58 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲20.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.1 shots/match
46.8%Possession10/1060.6%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲2.07 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.43 shots/matchShots14/14▲20.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲7.07 shots/match
47%Possession14/1459.7%
4.14 corners/matchCorners14/146.14 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards14/141.86 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.88 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.75 shots/matchShots8/8▲20.1 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲6.75 shots/match
50%Possession8/858.5%
5.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.88 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards8/81.5 cards/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/89.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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