PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

LLDDL
3–0Full-time recap

Girona

DLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheGirona
Shots11 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Elche's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsElche · Girona9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheGironaBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match9.33 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match17.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

weak

Elche's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 0 · 4 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.87 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.93 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/159.33 shots/match
12.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1517.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.73 shots/match
4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/155.73 shots/match
58.9%Possessionseason · 15/1546.7%
3.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154 corners/match
4.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.8 corners/match
1.93 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 15/152.6 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1510.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1513%
80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Girona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche52.5
Girona22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche53.3
Girona4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Girona12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche40
Girona50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche7.5
Girona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche42.5
Girona23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/548%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots10/108.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
59.9%Possession10/1047.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/match▲Shots15/159.33 shots/match
4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.73 shots/match
58.9%Possession15/1546.7%
3.13 corners/matchCorners15/154 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards15/152.6 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/70.71 goals/match
0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/72.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots8/78.86 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/74.14 shots/match
62.1%Possession8/742.9%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/72.14 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/72.57 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls8/712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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