La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 1–1 Sevilla · La Liga

1–1Historical match

Sevilla

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia and Sevilla drew 1–1.

Shots
114
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.190.32
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia and Sevilla drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Sevilla): shots 11–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.19–0.32, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots4 shotsValencia 11 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotValencia 3 shots, Sevilla 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.32 xGValencia 1.19 xG, Sevilla 0.32 xG
  • Possession48%52%Valencia 48%, Sevilla 52%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersValencia 2 corners, Sevilla 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsValencia 12 fouls, Sevilla 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards6 cardsValencia 3 cards, Sevilla 6 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

César Tárrega · Valencia · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.10 xG · goalLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAndres Castrin · Sevilla · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThierry Correia · Valencia · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 90′ · 0.23 xG · goalLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.21 xG. Sevilla: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 90′César Tárrega · Sevilla · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.21 xG · Sevilla 0.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Valencia
2Draws
1Sevilla
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–0
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia15 matchesSevilla15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.94 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots15/1510.7 shots/match
2.93 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 3.2 shots/match
47.1%Possession15/15● 54.2%
4.87 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.13 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards15/153.33 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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