PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LWLLD
4–0Full-time recap

Oviedo

DLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaOviedo
Shots13 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oviedo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Oviedo8.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaOviedoBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match8.75 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3%▲PossessionSevilla · Oviedo44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaOviedoBaseline
Possession54.3%44.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 1 · 5 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/160.44 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/168.75 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1616.1 shots/match
3.44 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/162.69 shots/match
4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/166.69 shots/match
54.3%Possessionseason · 16/1644.8%
5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.81 corners/match
5.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/166.31 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/16▲2.63 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1625%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla82.5
Oviedo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla45.8
Oviedo4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla44.2
Oviedo9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla12.5
Oviedo7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla90
Oviedo56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla62.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla52.5
Oviedo15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/549%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/match▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.7 shots/match
53.3%Possession10/1049.4%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.44 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shots16/168.75 shots/match
3.44 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.69 shots/match
54.3%Possession16/1644.8%
5.13 corners/matchCorners16/163.81 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCards16/162.63 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots8/87.75 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.75 shots/match
56.8%Possession8/843.1%
5.25 corners/matchCorners8/83 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match