La Liga · 2025Estadio Mendizorrotza

Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
613
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.361.83
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Alaves 2–1. Recorded in this match (Alaves – Real Madrid): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.36–1.83, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAlaves · Real Madrid19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlavesReal MadridBaseline
Shots11 shots/match19.5 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match9.82 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid.

8.2 days ▲Rest daysAlaves · Real Madrid7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlavesReal MadridBaseline
Rest days8.2 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsDeportivo Alavés 6 shots, Real Madrid 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsDeportivo Alavés 2 shots, Real Madrid 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.83 xGDeportivo Alavés 1.36 xG, Real Madrid 1.83 xG
  • Possession52%48%Deportivo Alavés 52%, Real Madrid 48%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersDeportivo Alavés 5 corners, Real Madrid 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsDeportivo Alavés 12 fouls, Real Madrid 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardDeportivo Alavés 3 cards, Real Madrid 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Alaves · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Alaves · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Alaves · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.12 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCarlos Vicente · Alaves · 68′ · 0.34 xG · goalToni Martínez · Alaves · 73′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.54 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.57 xG · on targetPablo Ibáñez · Alaves · 45′ · 0.58 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alaves: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.35 xG. Real Madrid: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Carlos Vicente · Alaves · 68′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 24′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alaves 1.35 xG · Real Madrid 1.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Alavés
0Draws
5Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–2
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–0
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés16 matchesReal Madrid17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 2 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 2.33 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 19.5 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 7.06 shots/match
49.3%Possession16/17● 59.1%
5.25 corners/matchCorners16/17● 6.35 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards16/172.12 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls16/179.76 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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