PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club · La Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 2–0.

Shots
514
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.41.62
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Athletic Club 2–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Athletic Club): shots 5–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.4–1.62, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Athletic Club13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match9.47 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots14 shotsCelta Vigo 5 shots, Athletic Club 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 2 shots, Athletic Club 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.62 xGCelta Vigo 1.4 xG, Athletic Club 1.62 xG
  • Possession50%50%Celta Vigo 50%, Athletic Club 50%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersCelta Vigo 1 corner, Athletic Club 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Athletic Club 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsCelta Vigo 3 cards, Athletic Club 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSelton Sánchez · Athletic Club · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUrko Izeta · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSelton Sánchez · Athletic Club · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 32′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.33 xG · goalJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.38 xG · goalNico Williams · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.39 xG. Athletic Club: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 48′Jones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.39 xG · Athletic Club 1.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
0Draws
4Athletic Club
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–3
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo16 matchesAthletic Club17 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/170.88 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.29 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.32 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 13 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/173.88 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession16/1748.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.29 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCards16/172 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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