PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoAthletic Club
Shots5 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Athletic Club13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match9.47 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 5 · 6 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/170.88 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/171.29 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/17▲13 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/17▲9.47 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/173.88 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/17▲3.82 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 16/1748.3%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/175.29 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/17▲4.41 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/172 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1713.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/17▲29%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1753%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo62.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo44.2
Athletic Club50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo42.5
Athletic Club65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo22.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo35
Athletic Club42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo35.6
Athletic Club66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
48%Possession5/541.6%
2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1044.5%
2.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored16/170.88 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots16/17▲13 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/173.88 shots/match
50.8%Possession16/1748.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners16/175.29 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCards16/172 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored9/80.75 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots9/8▲12.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/83.5 shots/match
54.6%Possession9/846.3%
4.89 corners/matchCorners9/84.75 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards9/82.5 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls9/812.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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