UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap

Athletic Club

LLWLD

0–0Full-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Paris Saint Germain
Shots	9 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	2.05 xG/match▲
Possession	28%	72%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	21 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.50 xG · Paris Saint Germain 2.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Paris Saint Germain19.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	19.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	11.2 shots/match	9 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%▲PossessionAthletic Club · Paris Saint Germain66.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Possession	43.8%	66.8%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Paris Saint Germain in 9 · 4 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲3.17 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲2.29 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.4 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲19.8 shots/match

11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲9 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲8 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.17 shots/match

43.8%Possessionseason · 6/666.8%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66.5 corners/match

3.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

17.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/67.67 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club10.7

Paris Saint Germain98.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club18.8

Paris Saint Germain95.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club53.1

Paris Saint Germain80.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club44

Paris Saint Germain65.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club94

Paris Saint Germain3.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club25

Paris Saint Germain91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club41.7

Paris Saint Germain71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.05 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

45%Possession5/566.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17 fouls/matchFouls5/58.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲3.17 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.29 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲19.8 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match

43.8%Possession6/666.8%

4 corners/matchCorners6/66.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17.2 fouls/matchFouls6/67.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲3.17 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.29 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲19.8 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match

43.8%Possession6/666.8%

4 corners/matchCorners6/66.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17.2 fouls/matchFouls6/67.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.17 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲19 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6.67 shots/match

42%Possession3/365.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17.7 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4