UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap

Juventus

DDLDW

2–0Full-time recap

Pafos FC

DLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Juventus	Pafos FC
Shots	25 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.65 xG/match▲	1.19 xG/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	13 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Juventus: 25 shots, 5 on target, 2.60 xG. Pafos FC: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 2.60 xG · Pafos FC 1.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Pafos FC10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Pafos FC	Baseline
Shots	18.5 shots/match	10 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	14.8 shots/match	20 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/match▲FoulsJuventus · Pafos FC12.9 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Juventus	Pafos FC	Baseline
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12.9 fouls/match	11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Pafos FC in 2 · 3 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/121 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/12▲1 goals/match

1.96 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.94 xG/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.26 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/810 shots/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/820 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/83.25 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/85.63 shots/match

49%Possessionseason · 6/839.5%

6.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/83 corners/match

4.83 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/812.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/12▲50%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus36.9

Pafos FC6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus81.2

Pafos FC13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 78%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus36.8

Pafos FC38.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 78%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus96.4

Pafos FC39.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus86.9

Pafos FC72.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus96.4

Pafos FC4.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus89.3

Pafos FC24.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.96 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.07 xG/match

18.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

48.4%Possession5/538.4%

7.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/101 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.96 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shots6/810 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/83.25 shots/match

49%Possession6/839.5%

6.83 corners/matchCorners6/83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls6/812.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 12 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/121 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/12▲1 goals/match

1.96 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shots6/810 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/83.25 shots/match

49%Possession6/839.5%

6.83 corners/matchCorners6/83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls6/812.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 6 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/60.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/6▲0.5 goals/match

2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.11 xG/match

20.7 shots/match▲Shots3/410.3 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/43.25 shots/match

54.3%Possession3/436%

7.67 corners/matchCorners3/43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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