PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Allianz Stadium

Juventus 2–0 Pafos FC · UEFA Champions League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 2–0.

Shots
2512
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.651.19
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Pafos FC 2–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Pafos FC): shots 25–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.65–1.19, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Pafos FC10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusPafos FCBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match10 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match20 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsJuventus · Pafos FC12.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricJuventusPafos FCBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match12.9 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots12 shotsJuventus 25 shots, Pafos FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsJuventus 5 shots, Pafos FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.65 xG1.19 xGJuventus 2.65 xG, Pafos FC 1.19 xG
  • Possession61%39%Juventus 61%, Pafos FC 39%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersJuventus 13 corners, Pafos FC 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsJuventus 8 fouls, Pafos FC 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabio Miretti · Juventus · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMislav Oršić · Pafos FC · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Kelly · Juventus · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 67′ · 0.03 xG · goalVasilije Adžić · Juventus · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Correia · Pafos FC · 79′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Goldar · Pafos FC · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Luckassen · Pafos FC · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Quina · Pafos FC · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Kelly · Juventus · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPêpê · Pafos FC · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Juventus · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnderson Silva · Pafos FC · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 60′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJajá · Pafos FC · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVlad Dragomir · Pafos FC · 28′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJonathan David · Juventus · 73′ · 0.62 xG · goalJonathan David · Juventus · 42′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 25 shots, 5 on target, 2.60 xG. Pafos FC: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Weston McKennie · Juventus · 67′Jonathan David · Juventus · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 2.60 xG · Pafos FC 1.15 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Pafos FC in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus6 matchesPafos FC12 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/121 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/12▲ 1 goal/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/810 shots/match
7.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/83.25 shots/match
49% ●Possession6/839.5%
6.83 corners/match ●Corners6/83 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls6/812.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusPafos FC
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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