UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstádio da LuzFull-time recap

Benfica

LLLLW

2–0Full-time recap

Napoli

LWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Benfica	Napoli
Shots	13 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.22 xG/match▲	0.64 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	21 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Benfica: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG. Napoli: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Benfica 2.26 xG · Napoli 0.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Benfica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Napoli have a visible away split

weak

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.67 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Benfica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Benfica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.1 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsBenfica · Napoli11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Benfica	Napoli	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	10 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Benfica favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 2 · 3 too close

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/61 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/61.83 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.37 xG/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.57 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/611.2 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/613.5 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/63.17 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/65.17 shots/match

48.6%Possessionseason · 10/649.5%

5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/65.67 corners/match

4.9 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/6▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/613.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/633%

60%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Benfica34.5

Napoli52.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Benfica33.5

Napoli17.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Benfica85.7

Napoli38.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Benfica53.6

Napoli13.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Benfica41.7

Napoli78.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Benfica70.2

Napoli76.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Benfica46.4

Napoli46.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.61 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

44.6%Possession5/554.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 6 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/61 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/61.83 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.37 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/611.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/63.17 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/649.5%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/65.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls10/613.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 6 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/61 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/61.83 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.37 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/611.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/63.17 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/649.5%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/65.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls10/613.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 3 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/30.67 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/33.33 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.68 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/36.67 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/31.67 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/342.3%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/35.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/311.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Napoli have a visible away split

Benfica's recent record differs from the season

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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