PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli 2–1 Juventus · Serie A

Napoli

WDLWW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–1.

Shots
95
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.660.29
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Juventus 2–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Juventus): shots 9–5, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.66–0.29, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.71 corners/match ●CornersNapoli · Juventus4.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliJuventusBaseline
Corners5.71 corners/match4.64 corners/match4.12 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsNapoli 9 shots, Juventus 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsNapoli 4 shots, Juventus 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.29 xGNapoli 1.66 xG, Juventus 0.29 xG
  • Possession50%50%Napoli 50%, Juventus 50%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersNapoli 9 corners, Juventus 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls15 foulsNapoli 6 fouls, Juventus 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNapoli 2 cards, Juventus 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 59′ · 0.09 xG · goalScott McTominay · Napoli · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 49′ · 0.14 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 6′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 7′ · 0.48 xG · goalRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 78′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.64 xG. Juventus: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rasmus Højlund · Napoli · 7′Rasmus Højlund · Napoli · 78′Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.64 xG · Juventus 0.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Napoli
1Draws
1Juventus
Napoli — Juventus · Serie A2–1
Juventus — Napoli · Serie A0–0
Napoli — Juventus · Serie A2–1
Juventus — Napoli · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Napoli · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli14 matchesJuventus14 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141 goal/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.4 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 15.9 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target14/145.29 shots/match
56.1%Possession14/14● 57.9%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners14/144.64 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards14/141.57 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headNapoli — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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