PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Diego Armando MaradonaFull-time recap

Napoli

WDLWW
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNapoliJuventus
Shots9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.71 corners/match▲CornersNapoli · Juventus4.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliJuventusBaseline
Corners5.71 corners/match4.64 corners/match4.12 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 1 · 7 too close

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲15.9 shots/match
10.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1410.7 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/145.29 shots/match
2.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/143 shots/match
56.1%Possessionseason · 14/1457.9%
5.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.64 corners/match
3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/144.57 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/141.57 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%
79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli67.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli77.5
Juventus83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli83.3
Juventus75.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli37.5
Juventus87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli20
Juventus30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli92.5
Juventus62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli66.2
Juventus73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/557.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.3 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.5 shots/match
54.6%Possession10/1057.7%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.3 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲15.9 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target14/145.29 shots/match
56.1%Possession14/1457.9%
5.71 corners/matchCorners14/144.64 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards14/141.57 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/matchShots7/712.7 shots/match
5.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
54.7%Possession7/757.3%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/72.71 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/72 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls7/715 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.11 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNapoliJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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